Project
Jupiter
X. Observer’s Data
Results
A. Assumptions
1. A circular orbit adequately represents the true orbit for the
selected moon of Jupiter.
2. The Meade Epoch2000™ planetarium type software program correctly
provides the distance to Jupiter from the Earth (Geocentric distance)
and the relative positions of the planets. Alternatively, for most
observer data applications, the orbit mean-diameter for each of
Jupiter’s moons is obtained from NASA data.
B. Orbit Period Determined
The data supplied data by Tim Tyler, replicated in Attachment A, was
processed and is graphically shown in Attachment B. Tim’s data was
gathered between September 2, 2002 and October 6, 2002 and consists of 8
observation sets. Because of poor weather conditions that developed and
lingered in the observing area, on December 3, 2002, it was decided to
produce this Project Jupiter Report. The use of 8 data sets, rather than
the recommended 12 data sets, did not adversely impact Tim’s Project
Jupiter results, as shown below.
Data obtained from the NASA website (http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/joviansatfact.html
) provided the reference data for accuracy determinations.
The results, by moon, are:
Moon |
Orbit Period determined, days |
Standard Deviation
of data, JDs |
Regression Coefficient % |
Accuracy |
Io |
1.7706 |
0.14
|
0.993
|
99.9 |
Europa |
3.5569 |
0.23
|
0.994 |
99.8 |
Ganymede
|
7.1977 |
0.24 |
0.997 |
99.4 |
Callisto
|
16.6963 |
0.68 |
0.995 |
100.0 |
The moon resonance parameters were also determined
Moon |
Determined
Resonance |
Accuracy |
Europa |
2.011 |
-.003 |
Ganymede |
4.068 |
-.024 |
Callisto |
9.438 |
-.004 |
C. The Weighing of Jupiter
CCD image courtesy of AAAA member Charlie Warren
The weighing of Jupiter is accomplished by using a variant of
Kepler’s Third Law that incorporates Isaac Newton’s Law of Gravity. When
the orbital period of a satellite is combined with an orbit diameter,
then the mass of the planet being orbited may be calculated. The same
EXCEL spreadsheet that estimated the orbital period performs these
computations.
1. Standard Project Jupiter Analysis of the mass
Tim’s data was used to estimate the orbital period of each of
Jupiter’s moons. Using NASA data for the orbital radii, the computed
orbital periods yielded mass estimates for Jupiter as shown below:
Moon
|
Mass of Jupiter,
Kg |
KgJupiter
/ KgEarth |
Io |
1.8953E27 |
317.272 |
Europa |
1.8925E27 |
316.811 |
Ganymede |
1.8749E27 |
313.859 |
Callisto |
1.8990E27 |
317.893 |
The observed-weight-averaged-determined mass of Jupiter is 1.8924E27
Kg, or 316.787 times the mass of the Earth. NASA often uses the mass of
Jupiter, and their value ( at
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/jupiterfact.html
) indicates a reference mass of 1,898.6x10
24 Kg ( 317.83 times the mass
of the Earth). Thus Tim’s weight-averaged data is within 0.3% of the
reference data.
2. Extra Data Analysis
This section of the Report is a special addition to the standard
report, produced because Tim was able to make accurate estimates of the
positions of the moons. In the process of fitting of the data it was
noted that Tim’s data produced the orbital radius of the moons that was
very close to NASA data:
Moon |
NASA |
Tim’s Data |
Io |
5.91 |
6.12 |
Europa |
9.40 |
9.52 |
Ganymede
|
14.99 |
14.30 |
Callisto |
26.37 |
24.90 |
The exceptional accuracy reflects very good estimating of the
distances not only on a relative scale (necessary for good Project
Jupiter results) but also on an absolute scale. Because of this accuracy
in estimating the moon separations, it becomes possible to perform the
calculations of the mass of Jupiter
without
a dependence on the distance to Jupiter ( See
Section X.A.2).
The use of the calibration data and the computed orbital periods
yielded mass estimates for Jupiter as shown below:
Moon |
Mass of Jupiter, Kg |
KgJupiter / KgEarth |
Io |
1.6045E27 |
268.596 |
Europa |
1.6353E27 |
330.758 |
Ganymede |
1.9758E27 |
330.758 |
Callisto |
2.1183E27 |
354.614 |
The observed-weight-averaged-determined mass of Jupiter is 1.8531E27
Kg, or 310.2 times the mass of the Earth. As noted before, the
NASA reference values are 1,898.6x10
24 Kg = 317.83 times the mass of the Earth. Thus the Tim’s data
weight-averaged data is within 2.4% of the reference data. Such
accuracy, obtained solely through visual observing exceeds the Project
Jupiter expectations!
D. Gravitational Force and Escape Velocity
The relative pull on objects on the "surface" of Jupiter
19 is computed using the
classic formula
F = GmM / r2
Using NASA data for the diameter of the planet and Tim’s
weight-average computed mass for Jupiter in the formula results in a
weight 20 ratio of 2.47. This
means that if an object on the Earth’s surface weighs 1 lb, it will
weigh 2.47 Lbs on the surface of Jupiter.
The computed weight ratio is within 4.0% of NASA’s value (See
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/jupiterfact.html
) a ratio of 2.364 . NASA was
contacted regarding the large bias. The large variation is because of
NASA’s treatment of Jupiter as a rotating body. Thus, the larger bias is
not attributable to observer logging errors or to poor observing skills.
The Escape Velocity is that velocity such that an object may break
free of the gravitational force. The escape velocity is found using the
formula
escape velocity = square root of (2GM / r)
Using NASA data for the diameter of the planet and Tim’s computed
mass for Jupiter in the above formula yields an escape velocity of 59.40
Km/Sec. The computed escape velocity is within 0.2% of the value used b
y N A S A , namely 59.5 km /sec (see
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/jupiterfact.html
).
19 For the gaseous planets, the
diameter of the planet is defined where the atmospheric pressure is
equal to 1 atmosphere. Should a person be on the "surface", there is
nothing there to support you!
20 The mass ( Kilograms) of an
object does not change on Jupiter, or on any other planet. Its weight
(in pounds) does, however, change.
|